The performance of any national economy cannot be understood solely through headlines, anecdotes, or short-term fluctuations. What matters are the underlying structures: the flows of money, goods, and resources; the feedback loops within institutions; and the capacity of the system to remain viable over time.
Nigeria’s economic discourse remains largely superficial: the latest currency adjustment, the latest fiscal measure, or the political manoeuvrings behind appointments. Yet, as any systems practitioner knows, treating symptoms without diagnosing the system’s architecture leads to repeated policy failures and, ultimately, systemic fragility.
Drawing on the analytical traditions of stock-flow consistent (SFC) modelling, viable systems (VSM) thinking, and system dynamics (SD), this blog (Systems Thinking in Practice [STiP]Naija) will explore Nigeria’s economy as a complex adaptive system whose long-term survival depends not on arbitrary reforms, but on coherent structural alignment between sectors, institutions, and constraints. Without rigorous systemic understanding, well-meaning interventions can, and often do, generate unintended consequences that worsen the very conditions they sought to improve.
In the coming posts, I intend to examine key "systems" within Nigeria including the Economy, Energy, ICT, as well as critical institutions such as the Presidency, Central Bank and Legislature. My aim is to surface the structural interconnections that too often go unaddressed in public debate, and to offer a framework for thinking that moves beyond policy firefighting toward system stewardship.
STiPNaija is intended for those who recognize that meaningful change begins not with slogans, but with a disciplined understanding of how things actually work.
PS: Articles are co-authored with ChatGPT
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